Copper is riding wild in the domestic market while at LME it is glued to a particular price range
The metals market has slowed down somewhat as Indian
festivities like Dhanteras, Diwali, and Lakshmi Puja unfold. Copper continues
to be the central focus in the local market. The Copper is hovering steadily on
the LME at around $9,500 over the past week, a pivotal level that could signal
a significant shift. Other metals are similarly flat, with the strong USD,
currently hovering above 104, applying some downward pressure. This sideways
movement is likely to continue, with a potentially larger move anticipated
closer to the weekend, ahead of critical indicators like the US payroll numbers
and China's NPC meeting from November 4th to 8th. The upcoming Fed meeting in
November, with market expectations for a possible rate adjustment, also adds to
the suspense.
Considering these developments, it's prudent to solidify
physical positions, hedge as needed, and minimize open exposure.
In the local market, copper remains the focal point, and the
BIS development continues to add uncertainty. Meanwhile, the October-November
spread at MCX is holding strong, with some residual open interest yet to
settle. Market attention is beginning to shift to the subsequent two-month
spread, which is already in backwardation. Brace for potential volatility in
this spread—it could swing from deep backwardation to a flat position and then
even into contango.
As the market continues to fluctuate, staying cautious and
flexible with positioning will be key.
Reach out if you need detailed insights into individual
metals.